FACT FOCUS: A multimillion vote gap between 2020 and 2024 fuels false election narratives
Associated Press 06NOV2024
Less than 24 hours after Donald Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States, social media users began pushing two conflicting narratives to suggest election fraud, one that revived false claims by Trump that the 2020 vote was stolen from him and the other questioning how Vice President Kamala Harris could have received so many fewer votes in 2024 than President Joe Biden in 2020...
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Less than 24 hours after Donald Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States, social media users began pushing two conflicting narratives to suggest election fraud, one that revived false claims by Trump that the 2020 vote was stolen from him and the other questioning how Vice President Kamala Harris could have received so many fewer votes in 2024 than President Joe Biden in 2020...
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“20 MILLION VOTES WERENT COUNTED,” reads one X post. “I KNEW IT TRUMP CHEATED...”
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“If these numbers are accurate, this is indicative of a stolen 2020 election. 20 million votes just disappeared. In other words there were potentially 20 million fraudulent votes last cycle. That’s an insane number.”
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I find this intriguing. Not that I am an expert at statistics or anything; although I did just take an 8-wk class on the subject and passed: the gist of it all is still in mind.
I think what might be more helpful in this situation would be the "
Null hypothesis test" for either of the claims.
I believe this is similar to applying Occam's Razor to the two conflicting claims. Of course, as the article points out: the counting isn't done quite yet. However, there should be numbers about how many Registered Democrats/Republicans
did vote both times. It would be interesting to see how a
Real Statistical Analysis of the available data from both elections works out with Std. Devs, Z-scores, T-score &tc.
Also, an examination of proportions (Dems/Reps/Independent/etc); I am not going to put a number on what effect a voter's party loyalty may or may not be for any particular candidate: although one might think it to be consistent among registered Republicans voting for/against Trump (won can't really do that with Dems, bCux
Camel-uh IS NOT Buh-buh-biden).
That side of things should line up pretty well, one would expect?
-Oder-: n'est pas?Anyone wishing to give themselves a headache might visit that StatisticsByJim website I linked to above (& hear:
https://statisticsbyjim.com/); a little advertisement heavy: but I found it to be beyond helpful in that class I just took.
Personally, I ain't gonna run the numbers on it all, but I would be interested to see what an
actual statistician might have to say about it.
I know what it smells like to me!
I still find it mystifying
WHY they the hobo elite are
STILL counting the ballots...
What possible difference, at this point, does it make?
Nautical Shore.
